Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.030030 0.032400 0.034881 0.037675 0.040739 0.043999 0.047738
2024-12-15 0.026196 0.029588 0.033336 0.037800 0.042989 0.048854 0.056015
2024-12-22 0.023193 0.027095 0.031583 0.037158 0.043937 0.051965 0.062269
2024-12-29 0.021112 0.025341 0.030365 0.036823 0.044974 0.055011 0.068451
2025-01-05 0.019441 0.023870 0.029278 0.036435 0.045760 0.057642 0.074154
2025-01-12 0.017862 0.022357 0.027972 0.035593 0.045801 0.059198 0.078439
2025-01-19 0.017015 0.021688 0.027659 0.035959 0.047379 0.062808 0.085701
2025-01-26 0.016118 0.020880 0.027085 0.035899 0.048322 0.065556 0.091902
2025-02-02 0.015513 0.020410 0.026912 0.036343 0.049952 0.069327 0.099834
2025-02-09 0.014696 0.019596 0.026210 0.035980 0.050373 0.071340 0.105239
2025-02-16 0.014024 0.018940 0.025680 0.035811 0.051037 0.073716 0.111342
2025-02-23 0.013375 0.018278 0.025097 0.035515 0.051467 0.075733 0.116991
2025-03-02 0.012897 0.017838 0.024815 0.035655 0.052580 0.078898 0.124821
2025-03-09 0.012273 0.017158 0.024147 0.035169 0.052681 0.080454 0.130069
2025-03-16 0.011633 0.016422 0.023356 0.034444 0.052343 0.081255 0.134050
2025-03-23 0.011144 0.015887 0.022837 0.034106 0.052596 0.083028 0.139865
2025-03-30 0.010685 0.015373 0.022324 0.033744 0.052777 0.084671 0.145553
2025-04-06 0.010157 0.014732 0.021584 0.032974 0.052219 0.084990 0.148781
2025-04-13 0.009927 0.014538 0.021528 0.033308 0.053545 0.088677 0.158703
2025-04-20 0.009622 0.014213 0.021247 0.033253 0.054187 0.091175 0.166518
2025-04-27 0.009437 0.014068 0.021244 0.033658 0.055655 0.095261 0.177861
2025-05-04 0.009104 0.013673 0.020823 0.033327 0.055780 0.096854 0.184230
2025-05-11 0.008826 0.013357 0.020514 0.033173 0.056213 0.099046 0.192038